Dynamics of Children's Movement Among the AFDC, Medicaid, and Foster Care Programs Prior to Welfare Reform:  1995 – 1996

Appendix of Tables

Table IL1:
Competing Risk Cox Regression Model Estimates:
Illinois

Variables	Parameter Estimate	S.E.	p value	risk ratio	Comparison of Coefficients: t value
AFDC-FC Transition					FC vs. No Services
Age
Infant	1.39	0.24	0.00*	4.03	10.12*
Age 1-4	0.80	0.25	0.00*	2.22	4.87*
Age 5-9	0.35	0.26	0.19	1.42	3.20*
Age 10-14	0.68	0.26	0.01*	1.97	4.60*
Age 15-17				1.00
Gender
Female	-0.01	0.05	0.87	0.99	-0.48
Male				1.00
County Poverty
Less than 10%				1.00
10-20% in pov	-0.07	0.12	0.56	0.93	-0.43
20-30% in pov	-0.12	0.11	0.25	0.89	0.28
>30% in pov	-1.97	1.01	0.05	0.14	-1.85
Race/Ethnicity
White				1.00
Black	0.49	0.07	0.00*	1.63	10.76*
Hispanic	-0.73	0.13	0.00*	0.48	-5.55*
Other	0.40	0.20	0.04*	1.49	3.07*
AFDC-Medicaid Transition					Med vs. No Services
Age
Infant	-0.55	0.03	0.00*	0.58	12.10*
Age 1-4	-0.28	0.04	0.00*	0.76	3.85*
Age 5-9	-0.19	0.04	0.00*	0.83	7.06*
Age 10-14	-0.09	0.04	0.03*	0.92	9.84*
Age 15-17				1.00
Gender
Female	-0.03	0.02	0.05	0.97	-2.56*
Male				1.00
County Poverty
Less than 10%				1.00
10-20% in pov	0.01	0.03	0.75	1.01	0.76
20-30% in pov	-0.66	0.03	0.00*	0.52	-16.27*
>30% in pov	-0.97	0.16	0.00*	0.38	-4.85*
Race/Ethnicity
White				1.00
Black	-0.61	0.02	0.00*	0.54	-16.54*
Hispanic	-0.28	0.03	0.00*	0.75	-8.89*
Other	-0.53	0.06	0.00*	0.59	-4.14*
AFDC-No service Transition
Age
Infant	-1.02	0.02	0.00*	0.36
Age 1-4	-0.44	0.02	0.00*	0.64
Age 5-9	-0.50	0.02	0.00*	0.61
Age 10-14	-0.54	0.02	0.00*	0.58
Age 15-17				1.00
Gender
Female	0.02	0.01	0.10	1.02
Male				1.00
County Poverty
Less than 10%				1.00
10-20% in pov	-0.02	0.02	0.39	0.98
20-30% in pov	-0.15	0.02	0.00*	0.86
>30% in pov	-0.10	0.08	0.20	0.91
Race/Ethnicity
White				1.00
Black	-0.24	0.01	0.00*	0.79
Hispanic	-0.02	0.02	0.19	0.98
Other	-0.22	0.04	0.00*	0.80
Note:  Baseline levels are indicated as risk ratio of 1.
*  Estimates are statistically significant at the 0.05 level.

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